Kerry 353, Bush 185
Actually, just to make things more complicated, I predict Kerry will win 353 to 184, due to the probable non-vote on the part of a republican elector in West Virginia (especially if it becomes clear that the single vote won't matter).
(This update is primarily because I can't remember which states I predicted would go to who, so I started over.)
For those who are interested, I recommend the following web sites for following the latest polling data:
Electoral Vote Predictor